Reach
will the market cap be at or above X at the deadline?
measured as the 60-min average of 1-min closes before the deadline.
TWAP_60m(mcap) >= X -> YESX between 1.2x and 100x of the current market cap.
the house doesn't pick sides. the data does.
the five calls
Touch
will the market cap touch X any time before the deadline?
any 5-min candle that closes at or above X between the open and the deadline. closes, not wicks.
exists 5m candle: close >= X, open < t <= deadline -> YESX between 1.2x and 100x of the current market cap.
Graduate
will the coin leave the pump.fun bonding curve before the deadline?
the bonding curve account reads complete = true and the completing transaction landed before the deadline.
curve.complete && completedAt <= deadline -> YESonly coins still on the curve with progress at or below 95%.
Hold
will the coin keep at least Y% of its market cap?
the 60-min average at the deadline compared to the 60-min average at the open.
TWAP(deadline) >= Y% x TWAP(open) -> YESY between 25% and 90%.
Duel
$A vs $B: which one moves more?
each side's change is TWAP(deadline) / TWAP(open) - 1. bigger change wins. closer than 0.5 points -> VOID.
dA = TWAP_A(end)/TWAP_A(open) - 1; dB likewise; max winstwo different admitted coins.
void when
- no data for more than 20% of the TWAP window
- subject liquidity under half of the admission minimum inside the window (likely rug or delisting)
- a source error that the backup snapshots could not cover
- a dispute vote decided VOID
a VOID pot is split in half: both coins are bought back and burned.
the fine print
- TWAP window
- 60 min of 1-min closes
- quiet minutes forward-filled
- up to 5 min
- settled after
- deadline + 65 min
- dispute window
- min(6h, 25% of the call), ≥ 1h
- reach / touch line
- 1.2x – 100x of now
- hold
- 25% – 90%
- duel tie band
- 0.5 points
- max live calls per coin
- 5
- fee split
- 80 pot / 10 opener / 10 $LONGSHOT
asked at the window
do I bet SOL with the house?
no. a slip is a plain buy of a pump.fun coin. the house never holds your money; the vault only ever holds creator fees.
what do winners get?
the winning coin gets bought back with the whole pot and burned. supply goes down. nobody is paid out directly.
what happens to the losing coin?
it gets a LOST stamp on the site and keeps trading on its own on pump.fun.
who decides the result?
a formula over public data: GeckoTerminal candles and the Solana chain. every result has a receipt. no people, no models, no feelings.
can the result be wrong?
data can glitch. that is why there is a dispute window and a vote by $LONGSHOT pit bosses. the house can only void, publicly, never pick a winner.
what about fees that arrive after settlement?
victory lap: every later fee of a settled call keeps buying back and burning the winner.
which coins can I call?
Solana tokens with a pool, at least an hour old, with $5,000+ liquidity or a pump.fun curve at 10%+. no politics, sports or people.
risks
YES/NO coins are memecoins on pump.fun. the pot is made only of creator fees and is used to buy back and burn the winning coin — holders are not paid out. you can lose everything. not financial advice. pump.fun, GeckoTerminal, DexScreener and Solana RPCs are third parties; outages delay settlement or force a VOID.